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Bitcoin is likely to remain rangebound and trade along with macro data points, until we see a clearer path for rate cut." Bitcoin jumped with stocks on Wednesday after the April consumer price index showed inflation eased from the previous month. The consumer price index, a broad measure of how much goods and services cost at the cash register, increased 0.3% from March, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Earlier this week, bitcoin also sat out a two-day revival of the meme stock craze. With Wednesday's gain, bitcoin is now up 7% for the week — its best week since March 29 — and on pace to break a six-week slide.
Persons: Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, bitcoin, Bitcoin, Dow Jones, Leena ElDeeb, ElDeeb, Jeff Cox, Nick Wells Organizations: CNBC, Metrics, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Investors
Here's why Thursday's post-GDP sell-off may be overdone
  + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Stocks sold off Thursday aHoweverfter the latest economic data came in weaker than expected, but some observers say that the reaction was overdone. While the headline GDP number missed expectations, it nevertheless showed economic growth the Fed could take in stride, they say. He noted that the core parts of GDP, such as consumption growth and residential growth, were "quite good." "Stagflation is a combination of stagnant growth and high inflation," Nick continued. "I think the earnings backdrop has been very supportive," Lee told CNBC's " Closing Bell " on Thursday.
Persons: Stocks, Dow Jones, Chris Zaccarelli, Brian Nick, Nick, we're, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Independent, Alliance, Dow Jones, Treasury, Macro, Wolfe Research Locations: U.S
The 2-year Treasury note yield traded marginally higher at 4.685%. The 10-year Treasury yield was slightly higher on Thursday as investors closely monitored speeches from a host of Federal Reserve officials and awaited the release of key economic data. It comes as market participants continue to keep track of comments from Fed officials and await the release of the U.S. jobs report on Friday. A flurry of Fed speeches are also scheduled to take place. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari are just some of the officials poised to deliver comments on the outlook for the U.S. economy.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Patrick Harker, Tom Barkin, Neel Kashkari, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Stanford University, Traders, Philadelphia Fed, Richmond Fed, Minneapolis Fed Locations: U.S, Richmond
Yields and prices move in opposite directions, and one basis point equals 0.01%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was up around 1 basis point at 4.709%. The 10-year Treasury note briefly broke above 4.4% in intraday trade on Tuesday to notch its highest level since late November. The 10-year Treasury note yield moved higher on Wednesday, building on gains from the previous session as investors await the release of further U.S. economic data. The market moves come as investors track economic data and closely monitor clues from Fed policymakers about the expected number of interest rate cuts in 2024.
Persons: Loretta Mester, Mary Daly, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, Traders, Cleveland Federal, San Francisco Fed, PMI, Institute for Supply Management Locations: U.S
CNBC Daily Open: A projection is not a promise
  + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineU.S. Federal Reserve officials are dampening rate cut expectations again, and again. In comments echoing those of the Federal Open Market Committee's two weeks ago, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Tuesday she expects cuts this year — but wants to see more convincing evidence that inflation has been subdued. "Three rate cuts is a projection, and a projection is not a promise," Daly said.
Persons: Spencer Platt, Mary Daly, Daly, Loretta Mester, Vishnu Varathan, , Jeff Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Federal, San Francisco Fed, Cleveland Federal, Malaysian, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Asia, Japan
The 2-year Treasury note yield was flat at 4.712%. The 10-year Treasury note yield rose slightly Tuesday, adding to its gains from the previous session, as traders reassessed the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in June. The ISM manufacturing index rose to 50.3, up from 47.8 in February and significantly better than the 48.1 Dow Jones consensus estimate. Markets interpreted the unexpected return of U.S. manufacturing growth "as reducing the chances of meaningful Fed rate cuts," Dutch bank ING said in a research note. The Fed also said at the time that it still expects three quarter-percentage point cuts by the end of the year.
Persons: Gregory Faranello, Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, ING, AmeriVet Securities Locations: U.S
The February consumer price index, set for release Tuesday, and the producer price index, due out Thursday, could hurt equities if the reports come out hotter than expected. The S & P 500 closed out the week with losses, but has advanced more than 7% for the year. Some stubborn spots in inflation February's consumer inflation data next week comes after January's surprisingly hot report dented investor hopes the so-called last mile to the Fed's 2% inflation target will be easy. Export Price Index (February) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (February) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Giuseppe Sette, FactSet, James Ragan, Davidson, Nordstrom, Davidson's Ragan, Kathleen Grace, Russell, Office's Grace, Grace, Price, Jeff Cox, Nick Wells Organizations: Fed, Nvidia, Meta, Oracle, Treasury Budget, Adobe, Price, Index, Manufacturing Locations: chug, Michigan
CNBC Daily Open: U.S. economy's state of play
  + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Jonathan Ernst | ReutersWhat you need to know todayThe bottom lineAll eyes will be on the state of the U.S. economy as the first official reading of fourth-quarter GDP data drops Thursday morning. "Data released [Thursday] may in retrospect turn out to document the one quarter of true 'Goldilocks' conditions," Citi economist Andrew Hollenhorst wrote. Since 2016, a slew of government data was published the day before the GDP report — namely, information on business inventories and trade, which are part of the GDP calculation.
Persons: Joe Biden, Jonathan Ernst, Andrew Hollenhorst, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson, , Jeff Cox Organizations: CNBC, Flex, Reuters, Citi, Pantheon Locations: U.S, West Columbia, South Carolina
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note edged higher to 4.0694%. The 2-year Treasury yield rose by around 5 basis points to trade at 4.278%. Treasury yields were higher early Wednesday, with the 10-year yield holding above 4%, as investors focused on fresh data and commentary from Federal Reserve members. On Tuesday, yields jumped after comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who suggested that while the central bank will likely cut rates this year, it may take its time. At the World Economic Forum in Davos, more European Central Bank members indicated that markets were getting ahead of themselves on rate cut projections.
Persons: FactSet, Christopher Waller, Klaas Knot, Jeff Cox, Pia Singh Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, Economic, Central Bank, CNBC Wednesday Locations: Davos, Dutch
CNBC Daily Open: Inflation mission accomplished?
  + stars: | 2023-12-26 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The personal consumption expenditures price index measures how much consumers spend on goods and services. By contrast, the consumer price index tracks the price of goods and services — not actual consumer behavior. For the week, the S&P was up 0.8%, the Dow 0.2% and the Nasdaq 1.2%.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, That's, Andrew Hunter, Russell, bode, Greg Bassuk, , Jeff Cox Organizations: HK, Getty, CNBC, Capital Economics, CPI, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nike, Dow, AXS Investments Locations: San Anselmo , California
CNBC Daily Open: Inflation goal in view
  + stars: | 2023-12-26 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Brown | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The personal consumption expenditures price index measures how much consumers spend on goods and services. By contrast, the consumer price index tracks the price of goods and services — not actual consumer behavior. For the week, the S&P was up 0.8%, the Dow 0.2% and the Nasdaq 1.2%.
Persons: Frederic J, Brown, That's, Andrew Hunter, Russell, bode, Greg Bassuk, , Jeff Cox Organizations: HK, AFP, Getty, CNBC, Capital Economics, CPI, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nike, Dow, AXS Investments Locations: Rosemead , California
WASHINGTON — Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen pointed to the consistently higher prices that Americans pay for food and rent today, compared with pre-pandemic levels, as a major factor driving voters' negative outlook on the economy. "Although prices in general are rising less quickly, Americans still see increases in some important prices, including food, from where we were prior to the pandemic. As overall inflation rates have come down over the past year, food prices have consistently outpaced baseline inflation, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. There are lots of reasons for this, ranging from the war in Ukraine's impact on grain prices to restaurants charging higher prices for menu items. But Americans do notice higher prices from what they used to be accustomed to," she added.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, Joe Biden, Biden, Elizabeth Crofoot, CNBC's Jeff Cox, Donald Trump Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, NBC Locations: WASHINGTON
Valerie Plesch| Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wholesale prices in October, as measured by the producer price index, fell 0.5% for the month against the expected 0.1% increase. And that, to put it mildly, "may be at least a tad optimistic," Cox wrote. Expectations of a rate cut forced down Treasury yields Tuesday (though they rose again yesterday).
Persons: Valerie Plesch, Jeff Cox, Cox, Quincy Krosby, Henry Allen, Organizations: Eccles Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Major, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Investors, Treasury, LPL, Deutsche Bank, Fed Locations: Washington , DC, Major U.S
Valerie Plesch | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wholesale prices in October, as measured by the producer price index, fell 0.5% for the month against the expected 0.1% increase. And that, to put it mildly, "may be at least a tad optimistic," Cox wrote. Expectations of a rate cut forced down Treasury yields Tuesday (though they rose again yesterday).
Persons: Valerie Plesch, Jeff Cox, Cox, Quincy Krosby, Henry Allen, Organizations: Eccles Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Major, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Investors, Treasury, LPL, Deutsche Bank, Fed Locations: Washington , DC, Major U.S
CNBC Daily Open: The Moody’s downgrade was a non-event
  + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In this article AMZNDISGSNFLXENR-DEXOM Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTThe US Treasury building in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, Aug. 15, 2023. Nathan Howard | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Investors, focused on the week ahead, are already shrugging off bad news from last week. On Friday, Moody's Investors Service cut its ratings outlook on the U.S. government from stable to negative.
Persons: Nathan Howard, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Fitch, Treasurys, There's, Michael Reynolds, Goldman Sachs, Peter Oppenheimer, Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, U.S, Investors, Moody's, Service, Poor's, Glenmede Investment Management, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Reserve Locations: Washington , DC, Israel, U.S
CNBC Daily Open: Market bounce may not last
  + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The BOJ also revised its inflation outlook for Japan higher, forecasting core CPI to hit 2.8% and 1.7% for the fiscal years 2024 and 2025. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at the close of its two-day meeting Wednesday. But the Fed has been notoriously off the mark when it comes to predictions about monetary policy, writes CNBC's Jeff Cox.
Persons: Elon Musk, Jeff Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow, Industrial, China's, Bank of Japan, Samsung Electronics, Panasonic, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific, China's Shanghai, Japan
S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.06%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.1%. In after-hours trading, electric vehicle juggernaut Tesla slid 4% after the company missed expectations on earnings and revenue in the third quarter. During Wednesday's regular trading, stocks sold off sharply as Treasury yields surged to multiyear highs. Interest rates will be back in focus Thursday as traders look ahead to a key speech at noon ET from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Even as inflation numbers have been showing signs of improvement, Treasury yields' continued climb is raising questions on how the central bank may proceed on monetary policy.
Persons: Tesla, LSEG, Jerome Powell, , Jeff Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Netflix, Dow, Federal, Truist, American Airlines , Union Pacific, CSX
Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineAs expected, the Federal Reserve declined to increase interest rates. In June, the Federal Open Market Committee forecast four rate cuts next year, totaling one percentage point. Despite the prognostications of robust economic growth, markets focused on the "higher rates for longer" part of the dot plot, seeing the glass as half empty.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Chip Somodevilla, That's, Powell, we'll, , Jeff Cox, Yun Li Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Federal, Fed, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq Locations: Washington ,, U.S
Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineAs expected, the Federal Reserve declined to increase interest rates. In June, the Federal Open Market Committee forecast four rate cuts next year, totaling one percentage point. Despite the prognostications of robust economic growth, markets focused on the "higher rates for longer" part of the dot plot, seeing the glass as half empty.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Chip Somodevilla, That's, Powell, we'll, , Jeff Cox, Yun Li Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Federal, Fed, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq Locations: Washington ,, U.S
The Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to hold rates steady in the week ahead, but key for investors will be the central bank's guidance on where it's headed from here. Investors are assessing a mixed batch of economic reports ahead of the Fed's September policy meeting. Meanwhile, August retail sales came in better than expected, jumping 0.6% against a 0.1% increase expected by economists. Housing data released in the week ahead could show whether housing demand remains solid. Week ahead calendar All times ET.
Persons: Bank's Rob Haworth, Jerome Powell, Powell, Hogan, Instacart, Arm's, Mills, Lisa Cook, , Jeff Cox, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Investors, PPI, Federal, Riley, FedEx, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Darden, FactSet, Systems, National Bureau of Economic Research, Artificial Intelligence, PMI, SA, PMI Manufacturing SA, PMI Services SA Locations: NAHB, Toronto, Canada
Celal Gunes | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineAt first glance, August's CPI report seems bad news. And gasoline prices have actually retreated 3.3% from a year ago, suggesting that they're still on a downward trend in the long run. Indeed, the annual measure of core CPI still dropped from 4.7% in July to 4.3% in August.
Persons: Celal, we've, Andrew Hunter, Lisa Sturtevant, Sturtevant, Kayla Bruun, " Bruun, Dow, , Jeff Cox, Greg Iacurci Organizations: Anadolu Agency, Getty, CNBC, CPI, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Capital Economics, Bright MLS, Morning, Markets, 3M, Caterpillar, Nasdaq Locations: Virginia, Tesla
CFOTO | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Initial jobless claims fell last week to a seasonally adjusted 216,000, according to a report by the U.S. Labor Department. In other words, the labor market still looks tight because employers are laying off fewer people and paying them more. There's now a 39.9% chance rates will go up 25 basis points then, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Persons: There's, Brad McMillan, McMillan, Jeff Cox Organizations: AMD, Apple, CNBC, U.S . Labor Department, Federal, Nvidia, Devices, Seagate, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Intel's, Commonwealth Financial Locations: Shanghai, China, U.S
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineThe U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in August, but the overall unemployment rate rose. If the unemployment rate goes up, that means the proportion of people looking for a job compared with the total labor force has grown. Investors, too, cheered the jobs report. Major indexes rose in response to the jobs report as well.
Persons: Robyn Beck, Stephen Juneau, , Jeff Cox Organizations: HK MBG, BMW, HK, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Bank of America U.S, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Garden Grove , California, U.S
Bitcoin's back to its volatile ways after its big move down late last week — but not for the reason investors expected. Aside from the mismanaged crypto lenders (and FTX) that plagued the crypto market in 2022, the Federal Reserve's inflation-fighting rate hiking campaign played a big part in bitcoin's downward price pressure. "The volatility will have a persistence if we're going to stay here at an elevated real rate environment," he told CNBC. Even if the Fed doesn't raise interest rates anymore, the crypto space seems more focused now on real rates and keeping them elevated to fight inflation. Having institutions with an established long core holding would act as a stabilizing force for Bitcoin, Connors added.
Persons: it's, Mark Connors, 3iQ, We're, headwinds, Connors, It's, that've, Bitcoin, , Jeff Cox Organizations: CNBC, SEC, Fidelity Locations: BlackRock
The Stoxx 600 was up by 0.53% in early trade, with media stocks 2.85% higher and tech up by 1.2%. LONDON — European stock markets opened higher Thursday as investors digested a Federal Reserve rate hike and geared up for the European Central Bank's latest decision. "I would say it's certainly possible that we will raise funds again at the September meeting if the data warranted," Powell said. "And I would also say it's possible that we would choose to hold steady and we're going to be making careful assessments, as I said, meeting by meeting." Analysts expect a rate hike from the ECB on Thursday, with the main interest rate rising from 3.5% to 3.75%, as focus again moves to signals for the next meeting in September.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , Jeff Cox Organizations: LONDON, Central, ECB, Shell, Renault, Mercedes
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